Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000848 0.000909 0.000974 0.001048 0.001129 0.001217 0.001320
2025-12-21 0.000744 0.000826 0.000916 0.001023 0.001149 0.001293 0.001471
2025-12-28 0.000655 0.000743 0.000843 0.000967 0.001117 0.001296 0.001527
2026-01-04 0.000597 0.000688 0.000795 0.000931 0.001101 0.001310 0.001592
2026-01-11 0.000560 0.000655 0.000770 0.000918 0.001109 0.001352 0.001691
2026-01-18 0.000533 0.000632 0.000753 0.000914 0.001126 0.001403 0.001805
2026-01-25 0.000577 0.000699 0.000852 0.001063 0.001354 0.001753 0.002366
2026-02-01 0.000539 0.000659 0.000811 0.001025 0.001324 0.001744 0.002408
2026-02-08 0.000509 0.000628 0.000780 0.000997 0.001306 0.001750 0.002471
2026-02-15 0.000488 0.000606 0.000761 0.000984 0.001309 0.001785 0.002580
2026-02-22 0.000464 0.000581 0.000735 0.000960 0.001292 0.001789 0.002639
2026-03-01 0.000439 0.000553 0.000704 0.000927 0.001261 0.001768 0.002654
2026-03-08 0.000420 0.000534 0.000687 0.000916 0.001267 0.001813 0.002804
2026-03-15 0.000399 0.000511 0.000664 0.000897 0.001259 0.001838 0.002922
2026-03-22 0.000371 0.000478 0.000624 0.000850 0.001205 0.001780 0.002881
2026-03-29 0.000350 0.000454 0.000597 0.000820 0.001175 0.001761 0.002911
2026-04-05 0.000337 0.000440 0.000583 0.000809 0.001176 0.001794 0.003045
2026-04-12 0.000327 0.000429 0.000574 0.000805 0.001187 0.001846 0.003224
2026-04-19 0.000352 0.000471 0.000644 0.000930 0.001426 0.002340 0.004445
2026-04-26 0.000335 0.000450 0.000618 0.000898 0.001389 0.002307 0.004469
2026-05-03 0.000321 0.000433 0.000598 0.000875 0.001366 0.002299 0.004555
2026-05-10 0.000311 0.000421 0.000586 0.000864 0.001366 0.002337 0.004759
2026-05-17 0.000299 0.000407 0.000568 0.000844 0.001345 0.002332 0.004852